Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000348 0.000390 0.000437 0.000491 0.000552 0.000619 0.000699
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000275 0.000337 0.000410 0.000504 0.000621 0.000765 0.000953
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000229 0.000299 0.000387 0.000509 0.000674 0.000891 0.001200
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000188 0.000257 0.000351 0.000487 0.000682 0.000954 0.001369
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000165 0.000237 0.000337 0.000489 0.000720 0.001061 0.001611
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000153 0.000228 0.000337 0.000511 0.000787 0.001215 0.001946
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000135 0.000208 0.000318 0.000500 0.000801 0.001289 0.002163
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000118 0.000186 0.000292 0.000475 0.000788 0.001316 0.002303
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000177 0.000286 0.000481 0.000826 0.001432 0.002615
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000174 0.000291 0.000504 0.000897 0.001614 0.003077
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000163 0.000279 0.000498 0.000914 0.001699 0.003365
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000157 0.000274 0.000503 0.000952 0.001828 0.003761
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000147 0.000263 0.000495 0.000965 0.001916 0.004095
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000141 0.000259 0.000501 0.001009 0.002072 0.004611
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000135 0.000254 0.000505 0.001048 0.002226 0.005153
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000123 0.000237 0.000483 0.001028 0.002245 0.005378
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000118 0.000232 0.000485 0.001062 0.002395 0.005954
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000118 0.000236 0.000506 0.001142 0.002662 0.006890
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000111 0.000226 0.000495 0.001146 0.002745 0.007344
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000101 0.000211 0.000471 0.001113 0.002731 0.007529
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000098 0.000209 0.000476 0.001155 0.002917 0.008331
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000099 0.000214 0.000499 0.001245 0.003245 0.009635
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000094 0.000207 0.000493 0.001258 0.003366 0.010318